Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.384340 0.449084 0.521682 0.609179 0.711873 0.828699 0.971865
2024-12-22 0.282557 0.366732 0.471723 0.612608 0.797231 1.031658 1.353095
2024-12-29 0.232307 0.323891 0.446743 0.624226 0.875212 1.219171 1.729321
2025-01-05 0.191555 0.282911 0.412859 0.612158 0.911995 1.349291 2.041015
2025-01-12 0.163218 0.253309 0.388099 0.605799 0.951392 1.483486 2.373894
2025-01-19 0.143460 0.232713 0.372417 0.608764 1.002521 1.639120 2.760075
2025-01-26 0.133299 0.225247 0.375307 0.640334 1.102159 1.883602 3.326769
2025-02-02 0.124250 0.218019 0.377069 0.669392 1.200472 2.138008 3.948217
2025-02-09 0.114877 0.208737 0.373739 0.688458 1.282890 2.374659 4.572412
2025-02-16 0.104985 0.197067 0.364431 0.694902 1.342219 2.576109 5.159293
2025-02-23 0.095061 0.183950 0.350640 0.690660 1.379880 2.740468 5.696465
2025-03-02 0.084543 0.168309 0.330042 0.670151 1.382044 2.834394 6.101853
2025-03-09 0.079833 0.163728 0.330738 0.693353 1.478429 3.136585 7.007217
2025-03-16 0.073476 0.155015 0.322137 0.696248 1.532817 3.359447 7.777189
2025-03-23 0.068816 0.149213 0.318705 0.709528 1.611345 3.645174 8.737084
2025-03-30 0.062378 0.138739 0.304006 0.695758 1.626625 3.790481 9.386489
2025-04-06 0.057189 0.130376 0.292861 0.688503 1.655852 3.971888 10.154372
2025-04-13 0.053323 0.124535 0.286635 0.691885 1.710953 4.222801 11.141116
2025-04-20 0.051989 0.124433 0.293570 0.727909 1.851831 4.705547 12.821002
2025-04-27 0.050498 0.123761 0.299058 0.761073 1.990275 5.202625 14.627196
2025-05-04 0.048405 0.121349 0.300027 0.782836 2.102064 5.646613 16.362813
2025-05-11 0.045683 0.117021 0.295717 0.790192 2.176167 6.000190 17.899099
2025-05-18 0.042577 0.111334 0.287280 0.785349 2.215887 6.264622 19.216284